Salesforce
Enterprise software's bet on agentic AI, priced in real time.
In coverage since May 2026
Prediction record
Our call accuracy 3 of 5 right
25 of 25 tracked companies Market accuracy on Salesforce 2 of 5 right
market baseline, same contracts Brier edge vs market −0.056 mean
12 of 25 in coverage, by edge Scored events
Q1 2026 Beats quarterly consensus we said 29% Yes
Q1 2026 Salesforce closes above a key technical level by month-end we said 61% Yes
May 2026 10%+ single-day move in the stock this quarter we said 67% No
Jun 2026 Salesforce announces a new buyback or capital-return plan we said 18% No
Jun 2026 Salesforce guidance raise on the next print we said 46% No
Open A 10%+ single-day drop in the stock this quarter we said 84% Open
In the record
"Salesforce is overvalued at any price above today's" (bear case, forum consensus) Unsupported
"Salesforce is the safest name in its sector" (widely repeated) Mostly true