Robinhood
Retail order flow, priced as a growth stock.
In coverage since May 2026
Prediction record
Our call accuracy 3 of 5 right
15 of 25 tracked companies Market accuracy on Robinhood 2 of 5 right
market baseline, same contracts Brier edge vs market −0.009 mean
25 of 25 in coverage, by edge Scored events
Q1 2026 Beats quarterly consensus we said 61% No
Q1 2026 Robinhood closes above a key technical level by month-end we said 46% No
May 2026 10%+ single-day move in the stock this quarter we said 49% No
Jun 2026 Robinhood announces a new buyback or capital-return plan we said 55% No
Jun 2026 Robinhood guidance raise on the next print we said 31% No
Open A 10%+ single-day drop in the stock this quarter we said 85% Open
In the record
"Robinhood is overvalued at any price above today's" (bear case, forum consensus) Unsupported
"Robinhood is the safest name in its sector" (widely repeated) Mostly true