Netflix
Subscriber growth in a market that stopped growing new services.
In coverage since May 2026
Prediction record
Our call accuracy 4 of 4 right
25 of 25 tracked companies Market accuracy on Netflix 3 of 4 right
market baseline, same contracts Brier edge vs market −0.044 mean
1 of 25 in coverage, by edge Scored events
Q1 2026 Beats quarterly consensus we said 57% Yes
Q1 2026 Netflix closes above a key technical level by month-end we said 17% No
May 2026 10%+ single-day move in the stock this quarter we said 58% Yes
Jun 2026 Netflix announces a new buyback or capital-return plan we said 36% No
Open Netflix guidance raise on the next print we said 61% Open
In the record
"Netflix never misses on subscriber additions" (trader shorthand) False
"Netflix's next product will be its biggest launch yet" (company press release) Unsupported
"Netflix can double subscriber additions again within two years" (sell-side note) Unsupported