Ford
A legacy automaker's EV math, quarter by quarter.
In coverage since May 2026
Prediction record
Our call accuracy 3 of 4 right
1 of 25 tracked companies Market accuracy on Ford 2 of 4 right
market baseline, same contracts Brier edge vs market −0.079 mean
20 of 25 in coverage, by edge Scored events
Q1 2026 Beats quarterly consensus we said 20% Yes
Q1 2026 Ford closes above a key technical level by month-end we said 76% Yes
May 2026 10%+ single-day move in the stock this quarter we said 36% No
Jun 2026 Ford announces a new buyback or capital-return plan we said 43% No
Open Ford guidance raise on the next print we said 49% Open
In the record
"Ford is overvalued at any price above today's" (bear case, forum consensus) Unsupported
"Ford never misses on EV segment losses" (trader shorthand) False