Disney
Parks funding a streaming business trying to turn the corner.
In coverage since May 2026
Prediction record
Our call accuracy 4 of 6 right
12 of 25 tracked companies Market accuracy on Disney 3 of 6 right
market baseline, same contracts Brier edge vs market −0.018 mean
20 of 25 in coverage, by edge Scored events
Q1 2026 Beats quarterly consensus we said 72% Yes
Q1 2026 Disney closes above a key technical level by month-end we said 77% No
May 2026 10%+ single-day move in the stock this quarter we said 77% Yes
Jun 2026 Disney announces a new buyback or capital-return plan we said 58% No
Jun 2026 Disney guidance raise on the next print we said 32% No
Jul 2026 A 10%+ single-day drop in the stock this quarter we said 80% Yes
In the record
"Disney never misses on streaming profitability" (trader shorthand) False
"Disney can double streaming profitability again within two years" (sell-side note) Unsupported
"Disney's next product will be its biggest launch yet" (company press release) Unsupported