Coinbase
The regulated on-ramp for US crypto flows.
In coverage since May 2026
Prediction record
Our call accuracy 4 of 4 right
2 of 25 tracked companies Market accuracy on Coinbase 3 of 4 right
market baseline, same contracts Brier edge vs market −0.062 mean
14 of 25 in coverage, by edge Scored events
Q1 2026 Beats trading volume consensus we said 34% No
Q1 2026 Coinbase closes above a key technical level by month-end we said 34% No
May 2026 10%+ single-day move in the stock this quarter we said 48% No
Jun 2026 Coinbase announces a new buyback or capital-return plan we said 73% Yes
In the record
"Coinbase never misses on trading volume" (trader shorthand) False
"Coinbase is overvalued at any price above today's" (bear case, forum consensus) Unsupported
"Coinbase is the safest name in its sector" (widely repeated) Mostly true